LOS ANGELES April 22, 2026 – The Michael Jackson biopic Michael is tracking for a massive domestic opening weekend of $85 million to $105 million, according to leading box-office analyst Global Box Office.
If the projections hold, the film — starring Jaafar Jackson as the King of Pop — would surpass Christopher Nolan’s Oppenheimer ($82 million opening in 2023) to become the highest-grossing opening weekend of any biopic in history.
The Antoine Fuqua-directed Lionsgate release hits theaters and IMAX this Friday, April 24. Early tracking has surged in recent days, signaling strong fan turnout despite mixed critical reviews.
Global Box Office posted the update on X (formerly Twitter) Tuesday evening alongside official posters, noting:
“MICHAEL is now tracking to surpass OPPENHEIMER ($82M) to become the highest-grossing opening for biopic of ALL TIME. The King of Pop movie is making $85M-$105M this weekend domestically.”
The buzz comes as fans have rallied behind the film, with many declaring that audience enthusiasm — not critic scores — will decide its fate at the box office. The movie marks the first major cinematic portrayal of Michael Jackson’s life and career, from his early days with The Jackson 5 through his groundbreaking solo success.
Industry insiders say the projected debut would rank among the strongest non-franchise openings in recent years and further cement the enduring global appeal of Jackson’s music and legacy more than 16 years after his passing.
Michael is produced by Graham King (the Oscar-winning producer of Bohemian Rhapsody) and stars Jaafar Jackson, who has drawn widespread praise for his physical resemblance and performance as his uncle.
Stay tuned to Life News Agency for weekend box-office results as Michael looks to make history.

